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Crown Green Handicap

Brian Lea

Team: PoliceDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

1014

Current Handicap

5
Honours
Season:

84

Matches Played

47

Wins

37

Losses

56%

Win Rate

9.1

Avg Win Margin

6.0

Avg Loss Margin

32-11

Home Record

15-26

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
62 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 62 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins47/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2026
Home Dominance10/10 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 84 matches

+5 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

23 May8 Aug28 May20 Aug3 Jun19 Aug9 Jun1 Sept-125811

Gives 5 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current5
Win Percentage(40%)
61%
score+0.23→contribution+0.09
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.3
score+0.21→contribution+0.05
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.7
score+0.22→contribution+0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
65%
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
958
score+0.18→contribution+0.02
Weighted Score+0.225
Sample Size Confidence
100%(62/41 matches)
Rating1067 → shrunk 1067→ adjusted 1017
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)1017
Recency Blend40% (62 recent matches)
Final Rating1017
Handicap
5

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

47W37L84 matches·56% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Police2023–2026Division 284473756%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026John WalshH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2026Alfie CatterallA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/25/2026Bill MolyneuxA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/11/2026Jim FaircloughH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
7/28/2026A PickervanceH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2026R Cash (Jnr)A17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2026Neil CunliffeH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
7/7/2026Derek RoylanceA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
6/30/2026Jonathan FenneyH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2026Paul KellyA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
6/16/2026Wilf KayH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2026John CorlessA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
6/2/2026Robert PageA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/26/2026Stephen HolroydH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026L SimmsA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Chris MillsH21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 2
5/5/2026Rick AshcroftA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
4/28/2026Eddie HarrisonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
4/14/2026Paul KellyH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
4/7/2026John WhiteA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
9/2/2025Jim FaircloughH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025B WhalleyA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025Chris TarbuckH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025John CorlessA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2025Andy WeaverH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
7/29/2025Ward HattonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Malcolm BennetA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2025Ken BibbyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Andy KubiakA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Tim WaineH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025Lee BolanA21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025Kevin MarshH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Antony TeelingA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Simon ChurchillH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/27/2025Alan WaterworthA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Dave RahmanA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Malcolm BennetH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Tony GordonA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025Andy KubiakH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Ernie HarrisonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025John WalshH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Doug LaceA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2024Danny EustaceH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2024David EvansA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024John JellyH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Les SimmsH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024Neil SherwoodA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024Mike WarburtonH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Ken NaylorA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2024Ian ManchesterH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
6/25/2024Sean KeeniganA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024A FinneyH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024Peter JaundrillA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Derek RogersH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2024Paul CleggA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
5/14/2024W GreenallH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Peter ScottA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
4/30/2024Geoff GaskellH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Ed WebsterA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
4/16/2024Sean KeeniganH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
4/9/2024Jimmy NolanA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2023Ron VizardH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2023Tony PilkingtonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2023Peter BannonH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023Jack HowarthH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023Eddie WebsterA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2023Bob AppletonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2023Derek RogersA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2023Stan WilliamsonH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023Fred AndertonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023Phil MillingtonH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023Eddie BrooksA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023Kevin BlackH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Mike HitchcoxA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023Lee BolanA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Noel SwiftH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/23/2023Stephen TinsleyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2023Derek RogersH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023Peter JaundrillA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
5/2/2023S LoweH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2023Howard PinningtonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023Steve DonnellyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023Austin DavisA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

7

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWLWW
Last 1060% win rate↑ improving
WWLWWLWLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Derek Rogers21366.7%6/4/2024
John Walsh202100%9/1/2026
Jim Fairclough202100%8/11/2026
Paul Kelly11250%6/23/2026
John Corless0220%6/9/2026
Malcolm Bennet202100%7/22/2025
Andy Kubiak11250%7/8/2025
Lee Bolan11250%6/24/2025
Sean Keenigan0220%6/25/2024
Peter Jaundrill0220%6/11/2024
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)8/20/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Clegg (-17)5/28/2024
Best Season
202665% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202341% · 22 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 62%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
95984 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
7-944% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
40-2859% win rate
Division 256%
47W·37L·84 played

Debut

Apr 11, 2023

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

4 (3.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

21.0 (84 total)

Seasons

2023202420252026